![]() There may well be a better way to do this. ![]() That it did happen, to someone reading this thread, is proof of that. Of course as with all things chance/probability you shouldn't look at that number and think that is what will happen. There are different types of prizes that you can get in the Venice Carnival: There is a direct prize which you can buy with Florins. In this case we aren't done, we need to continue our multiplication. That happens about once every 1 / 0.003 = 333 instances. The chance of failing 113 times in a row (no doubling) is 0.95 ^ 113 ~= 0.003 = 0.3%. We'll do the math with 113 + 113 to get a similar conclusion. Now in this case I believe that he worked with 113 + 113, which technically only amount to a 3490 pot. ![]() (3500 - 100) / 15 ~= 227 (number of attempts to get 3500 pot)ΔΆ27 / 2 = 113.5 (number of doubled and number of non-doubled attempts) Click to expand.I hope my math here is correct. ![]()
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